Wednesday, February 01, 2006

Concealed Carry and Iran

Right now Wisconsin is on the verge of possibly passing a really stupid concealed carry law. The rationale of its advocates is that if there is a possibility of someone being armed with deadly force, a would-be assailant will think twice before striking them.

If that's true, and it is in fact a basic psychological truth that somewhat unpredictable sanctions are optimally effecive, then the key to world peace is to arm all the nations of the earth.

So, instead of fearing that Iran will acquire a nuclear arsenal, we should do the following. We will give Iran and any other country that wants them a small nuclear weapons capability. To assure that the arsenal is used for defense only, 80% of the weapons at random, will be rendered inoperable, and the identities of the functional weapons disclosed to no one.

No one will mess with these countries, if this theory is correct, for fear of nuclear retribution, even if the chance is under 50%. The fear of losing one major city is likely to make a potential aggressor risk averse. On the other hand, the aggressive use of such weapons would be foolhardy. It will probably achieve nothing militarily, but it will eliminate the user's key defense while at the same time bringing down potential retribution from the world for its first strike.

The government under Reagan sent its emissaries to Iran once with a bible and a cake and some missles, and that failed to make the Ayatollahs our friends. But maybe sending the new government there a few nukes would be received as a more serious gesture.

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